BRICS by all means looks to be the best alternative to the prevailing world financial order controlled firmly by the US and to a lesser degree by the EU and Japan. It has the potential to challenge and devalue the IMF, provided, it becomes a reality; but will it become? The answer is complicated and the possibility for the BRICS to fail is more than to succeed, thanks to the fundamental differences between two of the participating nations, both with the potential to demolish the Western economic dominance of the world. These two countries have already shifted the dynamics of economics to the East. Yet, China and India have more differences between them than the similarities and these differences are fundamental in character.
Since 2014, the power equations in south Asia and south-eastern Asia are gradually undergoing kind of realignment. The origin of this stealthy process can be traced back to the coup in Kiev by the neo-Nazis, influenced and financed by the US with a view to create a unipolar world where it could call the shots. The US underestimated the Russian reaction and President Putin’s brilliant military-diplomatic blitzkrieg halted the US ambitions in Ukraine, at least temporarily. The US reacted by imposing economic sanctions with the goal of crushing Russia economically. The US again underestimated the Russian capability to absorb shocks. More than a year after the sanctions, though gradually, Russia is well set on the path to revive it economy. The overall effect of the US overt and covert support of the neo-Nazi coup was a divided Europe and a Russia in search of new allies who wouldn’t fall into the various traps periodically set up by the US to neutralize any emerging power with the potential to halt its drive for world domination.
Russia looked around for allies sharing common goals and common concerns, of which one of the most important was to checkmate America’s adventurism abroad to cripple any nation that refuses to yield to the US desire to dominate the world. China is the natural choice for Russia to form a block independent of the US and its puppet nations in the EU. As in every formation of new alliances, some countries drift away and some close in. The Russia-China honeymoon is no exception and the nation that felt uneasy of this is no other than India, which never enjoyed a trustworthy relationship with the People Republic of China, since its inception as a Communist dictatorship that suspected everything and anything that had a normal relationship with the US and the West.
Dictatorships would never last and is bound to collapse. China as a Communist nation would collapse under the pressure of the inherent defects and limitations of a dictatorship. This collapse need not result in the disintegration of China like it happened with the USSR. Nevertheless the centripetal forces would stay active in regions like Tibet, as long as China remains a dictatorship under the Communist Party. The Chinese leaders are well aware of this and they fear that India could add fuel into it. This fear would stay as long as China remains a Party Dictatorship. The second fear is that India is a “natural” ally of the US, since India and the US have more in common than between India and China. Fear is one of the fundamental characteristics of a Dictatorship and China fears India that the latter would ally with its “enemies”. In the 70s, the enemy was both the hegemonic USSR and the Capitalist USA. After the disappearance of the USSR, USA remained the major “enemy”.
The Chinese alliance with Pakistan originated from the fear factor. Chinese could never see around like India could because the Chinese have no real understanding of how a vibrant democracy could function and unite a country of diversities like India. China has no idea of a democratic society and this cripples China of taking a realistic approach with its neighbor. The “realistic” approach from the Chinese perspective is to checkmate India by allying with Pakistan, because India has normal relationship with nations that are not China’s “friends”.
Pakistan too has its India policies molded on the fear factor. Right from the beginning of these two countries, conflicts gained the upper hand among them than cooperation. They fought over religion from day one and then they fought over Kashmir. Later India covertly and overtly supported the Bangladeshi liberation movement and split apart Pakistan. It was the greatest blow dealt by India to Pakistan and the latter would take generations to recover from it. That incident compelled Pakistan to go nuclear at any cost to “save” the rest of their country from being split by India. Though Pakistan was created to safeguard the rights and privileges of the Muslims, that country never did it. The splitting of Pakistan proved beyond doubt that religion can’t be the god-particle of a nation. Today in India, there are more Muslims than in Pakistan and they live and prosper times better than in Pakistan. India today marches ahead to become the third largest economy in the world whereas Pakistan has become a breeding habitat for terrorists and a test ground for the US to test its drone technology.
Pakistan made the Bomb and keep on building them. They might build enough Bombs to keep one in every household, because it is fear of India that keeps them as one nation and their “democratic” leaders and “military” leaders would keep on thriving on this fear. Pakistan can’t stay as a nation without keeping alive the “existential” threat from India. Fear of a common enemy unites people and obviously China is Pakistan’s natural ally. India is not afraid of the Bombs in Pakistan as a weapon to be used in a war waged between the two, but India is worried about one of these Bombs reaching one of the graduates passing out in numbers from Pakistan’s numerous Terror Universities. These “graduates” have infiltrated every sphere of Pakistani society, including its Army. And when it comes to these “graduates” infiltrating the Indian border with the active support of the Pakistan Army to “cut India with a thousand wounds” (the policy adopted by the Pakistani Army), Pakistan is an enemy of India. And the number one ally of Pakistan is China.
I hold on to my view that BRICS wouldn’t metamorphose into a vibrant united entity without mutual trust among the member countries. India and China have little trust between them. China cannot and would not earn India’s trust as long as China remains the key military ally of Pakistan.
By Sibi Vettom – India
(Please Note The Views and Opinions Expressed in this Article are Not Representative of Western Truth TV (WTTV), WTTV Management, or the Founder Sean Davis)
They are the sole views of the Author of the Article